Validation Sprint

How good are your site forecasts, really?

Most teams cannot put a number on it. The Validation Sprint can: we measure how accurately your own past site decisions predicted reality, then estimate what IRIS would do on stores of your own the model was never shown. An evidence-based read, before you commit a euro to a build.

  • Your own forecast baseline, measured on your history
  • Our expected R2, MAPE and interval, on stores the model never saw
  • Start at €4,000. €12,000 all-in, credited in full if you build
A bright European high-street storefront with a bicycle parked outside, illustrative of one of your own stores kept back from the model for the Validation Sprint. One of your own stores

A store the model never saw, and the estimate the sprint returns. Illustrative sample.

In use at expansion teams across Europe

McDonald’s
SPAR
Zeeman
Sameday
GrandVision
Kwalitaria
McDonald’s
SPAR
Zeeman
Sameday
GrandVision
Kwalitaria
McDonald’s
SPAR
Zeeman
Sameday
GrandVision
Kwalitaria

Start to numbers in four weeks

What happens, and when

Four weeks from the first call to your numbers, on about a day of your team's time. Two of these four steps can end in a no, and you keep what we found either way.

  1. Today

    A 30-minute scoping call No charge

    We confirm what data you have, what the sprint would cost you, and what you would walk away with. Nothing to prepare.

  2. Week 1

    The Kick Start €4,000

    Twenty hours against a published rubric, answering one question: can your records carry a model at all? The verdict is one of three, a no, a not-yet with the specific fixes named, or no fatal blocker found, and if it ends here you keep the finding.

  3. Weeks 2 to 4

    The model check €8,000

    We build on your own data and measure what it can actually do, on stores of your own the model was never shown. This stage can come back no as well, and that finding still earns its fee, because the measured reason a model failed is worth more than a model neither of us should trust.

  4. End of week 4

    You get the numbers

    We forecast real past openings of yours using only what was known before each one opened, then hold that against what actually happened. You get your own measured baseline, the R2, MAPE and interval we expect to hit, and a first read on the estate you already run.

Low commitment

A low-risk way to start

The sprint measures our error on your stores; it does not ship a deployed model, so we will not dress it up as a guarantee. We put the written commitment where the money and the risk actually are, on the build.

The full cost is fixed before you commit

The sprint fixes the remaining sprint count in writing before any build work starts, so you know the whole number before you decide. No open-ended day rate at any point.

Nothing is locked inside the platform

The measured baseline, the feasibility verdict and the portfolio read are yours as files, whether or not you go on to build. Full export, no re-purchase to read your own numbers.

The guarantee lives on the build

When you implement, we commit in writing to the R2, MAPE and prediction interval we will meet. Miss it and your first-year licence for that market is refunded, where that market has 50 or more comparable mature sites. We refund the licence, not the work. Governed by your order form.

95%of deployed models still in production. Not a model-accuracy claim
Hosted in the EUGDPR-compliantFull data export, yours to keep

Before you book

Questions

Your existing store list and the historical performance data for the stores you want kept back from the model; we'll confirm the exact format on the kickoff call. The sprint is scoped for a single market or region, so if you operate across several countries, we'll help you pick the highest-value one to start with. Most estates need one sprint; a larger or multi-format estate may need a second.
Then you have spent €4,000 and you keep what it found: the verdict on your data and the specific fixes where there are any. You never commit to step two until step one has cleared, so there is nothing to claim back and no open-ended day rate. Step two can also end in a no, and that finding is worth having too: building on your data and measuring that the signal is not strong enough is the work itself, and it is the cheapest honest way to learn it.
Then you pay half. The Kick Start is €2,000 rather than €4,000 for estates under 15 locations, and the same half rate goes to not-for-profits and social enterprises at any size, €6,000 all-in instead of €12,000. Same rubric, same report. What we will not sell below about 15 comparable mature stores is the model check, at any price: there are not enough stores to hold some back and still learn from the rest, so we could not honestly report an error figure. You get the data verdict and the fixes, not an accuracy estimate, because nobody could give you an honest one at that size.
No. A demo shows you the platform on generic data. The Validation Sprint measures your own forecast baseline and estimates how well IRIS would do on stores of your own the model was never shown, and gives you a real report to keep.

The first step, on your own stores

Book a call to scope your Validation Sprint

We'll confirm the data we need, the timeline, four weeks and roughly a day of your team's time, and what you walk away with, before you commit to anything.